Dec 12, 2010
Obama calls WikiLeaks' deplorable: White House | Reuters
Jun 28, 2010
Bill Clinton: President Obama not getting his due - Andy Barr - POLITICO.com
By ANDY BARR | 6/28/10 10:25 AM EDT
Former President Bill Clinton says Barack Obama is doing a 'better job than he's given credit for.'
Clinton, speaking in Cape Town, South Africa as part of the Fortune/Time/CNN Global Forum, said that public perception of the president has lagged behind what he has done to benefit the country.
“I think he's done a better job than he's given credit for,” Clinton said. “I feel very strongly about this.”
The former president, who, like Obama, saw his polling numbers dip dramatically during his second year in office, said that Obama is not fully “responsible” for how he is perceived, adding that a dip in approval is “not avoidable” in an economic downturn.
Jun 26, 2010
Gallup: Conservative Numbers Head Toward Record Year
Gallup: Conservative Numbers Head Toward Record Year
That nugget emerges from the results of a USA Today/Gallup analysis of eight surveys taken between January and June, which noted that 42 percent of Americans describe themselves as either very conservative or conservative. That’s up from the 40 percent figure recorded for all of 2009 and trounces the 20 percent who call themselves liberal or very liberal.
May 19, 2010
David J. Kramer - U.S. abandoning Russia's neighbors
David J. Kramer - U.S. abandoning Russia's neighbors
By David J. Kramer
Saturday, May 15, 2010
Apr 28, 2010
The Realists Don't Like Obama's Realism with Russia - Robert Amsterdam
Posted: 27 Apr 2010 07:34 AM PDT
Poor Barack Obama, he just can't make anybody happy with his reset policy toward Russia. His opponents on the right argue that he's selling the farm through weakness and undeserved concessions to an uncooperative, aggressive government. Other critics - like us - bemoan the ill-considered bargain of Washington's Iran obsession in exchange for the free pass given to the siloviki on values of human rights, rule of law, corruption, and democracy.
But I have to admit that I was a little confused by Dmitri K. Simes's take down of Obama's START replacement treaty with Russia, which he argues is much less substantive than the administration would like to claim. Simes points out that the new treaty "doesn't really require either side to eliminate weapons it wants to keep," that the agreement is void if the U.S. ever builds another missile defense system, and lastly, that the Russians themselves were giddy with excitement about they worked over their naive counterparts and didn't budge an inch.
But I have to admit that I was a little confused by Dmitri K. Simes's take down of Obama's START replacement treaty with Russia, which he argues is much less substantive than the administration would like to claim. Simes points out that the new treaty "doesn't really require either side to eliminate weapons it wants to keep," that the agreement is void if the U.S. ever builds another missile defense system, and lastly, that the Russians themselves were giddy with excitement about they worked over their naive counterparts and didn't budge an inch.
Mar 23, 2010
President Obama signs historic health care bill
The victory, almost inconceivable a month ago, provides an immense and immediate boost for Obama, who had staked his presidency on an all-out push for reform, and who needs the momentum from the win to have any hope of pushing through two other legislative goals this year, financial regulatory reform and new jobs legislation.
Friend or Foe: Does the Obama administration know the difference?
Feb 15, 2010
Obama's EU summit snub sparks diplomatic row | World news | guardian.co.uk
• European leaders told following press reports
The move is being seen as a snub in Europe and a sign that the promise of a more international approach from the US under Obama is being overtaken by more pressing domestic concerns. It is also a blow to EU attempts to be taken seriously in the global arena.
EU politicians and officials, particularly from Spain, which holds the EU presidency, expressed disappointment and suggested the US-EU summit might have to be downgraded, or even cancelled. "If there is no Obama, there is no summit," one envoy said. "We will now have a period where we focus on substance – on foreign affairs, energy security, climate matters – and we will organise a new meeting at the highest level when the political situation and the agenda make it possible."
The Spanish prime minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, who is scheduled to visit Washington this week, was described as angry and embarrassed. José Antonio Alonso, the governing Socialist party's spokesman in the Spanish parliament and close ally of Zapatero, said: "I think the US administration is and must be aware of what Europe is."
There were a series of diplomatic exchanges overnight yesterday after officials in Europe read about the decision on media websites. The US president normally attends the annual summit, held in alternate years in Europe or the US. However, there is a feeling in the Obama administration that a lot of summits are light on substance. Obama was reported to be "fairly unimpressed" with the last EU-US summit in Prague last year.
Obama also wants to be seen to be spending more time in the US dealing with domestic issues, in particular job creation, particularly after the Democrats' surprise defeat in Massachusetts last month.
However, part of the European consternation arose from comments from the US assistant secretary of state, PJ Crowley, who suggested yesterday there was confusion in Washington over who is in charge in Europe. "Because of the changes involving the establishment of a EU council president and a European Commission president on top of the rotating EU presidency, I think it's taking some time to work through exactly how various high-level meetings will happen," he said.
The White House left open the possibility of a visit to Europe later this year. A spokesman said: "We are still working through the president's travel schedule … and will make announcements on trips and summits when those are set."
Flashback: Barack Obama snubs EU summit
Barack Obama has snubbed the EU amid confusion in Washington over which "president" of Europe he would be expected to meet at a trans-Atlantic summit this spring.
Published: 7:42PM GMT 01 Feb 2010
US officials have expressed frustration because the Lisbon Treaty, which was supposed to give the EU a single global voice, has created a number of European presidents competing for Washington's attention.
Even the venue for the summit, Madrid or Brussels, has been "up in the air" after a tussle between Spain, which holds the EU's rotating presidency and Herman Van Rompuy, the new created President of Europe.
Under the terms of the Lisbon Treaty, Mr Van Rompuy, President of the European Council which represents EU heads of government, should host the summit in Brussels as Europe's lead negotiator in global bilateral talks.
But Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, the Spanish prime minister, insisted that he should host the summit because the EU was in "transition" after the Lisbon Treaty entered into force in December.
A US official told the Wall Street Journal that President Obama had not yet received an a formal invitation to the EU-US summit, a twice yearly meeting that has taken place since 1991.
"We don't even know if they're going to have one. We've told them, 'Figure it out and let us know'," said the official.
Other American diplomats have blamed confusion over which of the three EU "presidents" is in charge of the summit - Mr Van Rompuy, Mr Zapatero or José Manuel Barroso, the European Commission president.
"Who attends from the US and at what point will depend on who's calling the meeting," said a US state department official.
"There's a competition in Europe because you now have the standing EU architecture."
Many national and EU diplomats are dismayed at the institutional infighting that has followed the entering into force of the Lisbon Treaty.
"The Spanish are behaving badly. They've made a mess of the summit but Van Rompuy and the post-Lisbon EU institutions will carry the can in the long term. The squabbling has damaged the EU in the eyes of the most powerful nation in the world," said a senior source.
A European Commission spokesman hinted that the meeting would have to be downgraded or cancelled if Mr Obama did not show up.
"Normally a summit is a summit because it is attended by heads of state and government," said the spokesman.
A Spanish foreign ministry spokesman said: "The EU-US summit is scheduled to take place in May in Madrid, as was foreseen and we are still preparing it."
US officials have indicated that Mr Obama might reschedule talks with the EU in the wings of a Nato summit in Portugal this autumn.
Jan 14, 2010
How Obama set the tone for a new US revolution | World news | The Observer
- Paul Harris The Observer, Sunday 25 January 2009
In his first 100 hours in power, Barack Obama reversed many policies put in place by George W Bush, ranging from curbing lobbyists to closing Guantánamo to appointing new special envoys to the world's trouble spots.
The new era of Obama dawning in America's capital has begun well, receiving rave reviews from the media and even winning grudging respect from Republicans. It has been a frenetic few days as Obama and his top staff have struggled to move into their new homes and offices, as well as trying to impose a dramatic new direction from day one. Few experts think it could have gone much better. "Expectations and anticipation are clearly high and it is unfair to put that on anyone's shoulders. But if anyone can live up to those expectations, it is him. It is like suddenly the adults are in charge again," said Professor Shawn Bowler, a political scientist at the University of California at Riverside.
But those very expectations are a problem. Few presidents have entered the Oval Office amid such a mixture of hope and fear. The economic crisis has many ordinary Americans in a panic and looking to Washington for a steady hand. At the same time Bush has departed as a hugely unpopular leader, seen by many as a disaster for America, both at home and abroad, and so Obama is seen as almost a revolutionary change.
Certainly Obama has moved quickly to try to live up to those expectations. It began in the first minutes of his presidency, when he delivered an inaugural speech that was a stinging attack on Bush's legacy. As Bush listened, Obama rejected many of the key planks of Bush's rule, from national security policy to the misuse of science. Washington had seen nothing like it since Franklin Roosevelt rebuked Herbert Hoover in 1933 by saying: "The money-changers have fled from their high seats in the temple of our civilisation." No wonder Bush's top aides were rankled on the plane home to Texas, openly complaining about Obama's tone.
Not that Obama or his staff cared. During the first three full days of his presidency, Obama and his team pushed through a series of measures and appointments signalling a new beginning. Yesterday was also a working day, as Obama unveiled details of the massive economic stimulus package he intends to force through Congress, despite Republican reservations.
The most dramatic move was the order to close the Guantánamo terrorist detention centre in Cuba. The jail had become a rallying cause for critics of America worldwide and Obama's swift move is likely to rehabilitate much of America's reputation abroad. Obama also effectively banned the CIA's controversial practice of rendition and closed off its ability to use torture techniques to interrogate suspects abroad. The diplomatic offensive continued with the appointment of former Senator George Mitchell as a special envoy to the Middle East and former UN ambassador Richard Holbrooke to the same post for Afghanistan and Pakistan.
A similarly hot pace was set domestically. Obama issued three executive orders aimed at increasing the transparency of his government and opening access to presidential documents that Bush had made more difficult. He also took the important symbolic measure of freezing wages for 100 of his top staffers. Finally, he introduced a genuinely tough set of rules aimed at curbing the influence of the lobbyist industry, limiting their ability to join government or for his staff to leave and take jobs at lobbying firms.
The pace and calm execution of measures impressed many, though few of Obama's plans were radical. Instead they reflected a firm moderation that typified his campaign message of appealing to middle-ground Americans. "He has done some very smart things. From day one he has also been reaching out to Republicans," said Bowler. "He's getting rave reviews. Even from Republicans."
To his supporters, which seem to include many in an almost fawning US media, Obama last week successfully blended elements of some of the most fondly remembered presidents. He has shown some of the charm and humour of Ronald Reagan, the seriousness of purpose of Franklin Roosevelt, and the rhetorical, unifying flourishes of his hero, Abraham Lincoln.
But it is unlikely to last. Obama is riding his huge wave of popularity into some dangerously choppy waters. The economic crisis is getting worse by the day and he is trying to push a massive stimulus package through Congress in order to try to rescue some of the devastated economy. But the effort is drawing fire from Republicans and could lay the groundwork for a tough battle as Obama seeks to get a major initiative approved early on. Obama has also already seen US forces apparently carrying out a missile attack in Pakistan, the sort of thing closely associated with Bush's war on terror and emblematic of the troubles awaiting Obama abroad. There will be more incidents like that, and most will be much more serious. Unlike his first 100 hours, the signs are that Obama's first 100 days will not be so smooth.
The family assets
The introduction of Sasha and Malia Obama to the White House was one of the most delicate issues of last week. Everyone in the White House becomes a symbol for something and the pressures of growing up at the most important house in the world are immense. But America fell firmly in love with the Obama daughters as their introduction to the world was handled with cool and aplomb. For the girls, the experience was probably helped by the surprise appearance on inauguration night of the Jonas Brothers boy band, who were hiding behind one of the doors. Obama has already urged the media to respect the girls' privacy.The ruthless streak
Rarely has an inauguration speech so clearly repudiated the legacy of the outgoing president. Though Obama and Bush appeared to have run a seamless transition, the aura of conviviality ended on the podium. The freshly minted president wasted no time spelling out the changes he would bring to American politics and diplomacy even as Bush - who had been booed by the crowd as he entered - watched as a newly private citizen.It was a performance that displayed Obama's often overlooked political ruthlessness and satisfied an election campaign that had run on a single-word slogan: change. "Starting today, we must pick ourselves up, dust ourselves off and begin again the work of remaking America," Obama said. He then detailed a list of shifts, ranging from respecting science to national security to wealth redistribution to decreasing partisan attacks to restoring American ideals in foreign policy.
Not surprisingly, there were grumbles on the Bush plane back to Texas. Not from Bush himself, but some of his long-time advisers and former staff - such as Karen Hughes and Dan Bartlett - bristled at the attack and let their opinions be known. In typical style - and reflecting where power now lies - Obama's chief of staff, Rahm Emanuel, gave their complaints short shrift and mocked the Bush supporters as out-of-touch. "If they didn't know that was the judgment of people, then their subscription to the newspapers were cancelled over the last three years," he said.
The seriousness of purpose
Obama had his feet behind the White House desk at 8.35am on Wednesday. His staff were there earlier, many of them skipping inauguration balls the night before in order to prepare the new administration's first full day in power. Obama's chief of staff Rahm Emanuel was Obama's first visitor after giving the new president 10 minutes of private "time for reflection". Then the new White House sprang into action. In a deft nod to the tough times gripping America, Obama froze the pay of 100 top staffers. He also rolled out a new set of rules for his appointees restricting lobbying activities. A trio of decrees was issued with the aim of increasing the transparency of government, reversing measures taken by President George W Bush that made it harder to gain access to presidential documents.Later in the week, Obama ordered the closure of the notorious Guantánamo Bay detention camp for terrorist suspects. He also issued orders that effectively shut down a CIA network of clandestine interrogation centres abroad and banned the use of torture and rendition. On Friday, he lifted the ban on funding for international organisations that offer advice on or perform abortions. During the afternoon he met both Democrats and Republicans from Congress to stress the urgency of the proposed $825bn economic recovery package.
The White House itself was earmarked for a technological makeover. Many new staff on the Obama team - used to the high-tech instruments of their ultra-sophisticated election campaign - were perplexed by ageing computers, a shortage of laptops and old software that led them to set up their own email accounts. New presidential spokesman Bill Burton said: "It's like going from an XBox to an Atari."
The new diplomacy
First phone call - to Mahmoud Abbas, head of the Palestinian Authority. Then a flurry of further conversations with Middle East leaders. It was the old blood feuds of that troubled region that held Obama's immediate attention. Following the talk with Abbas, Obama spoke to Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert, Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak and Jordan's King Abdullah. The sense of a new era for the US abroad was reinforced by the confirmation of Hillary Clinton as secretary of state. Clinton has promised smart diplomacy, replacing the confrontational approach of the Bush era with a more inclusive approach. After spending 18 months attacking each other on the campaign trail, Obama and Clinton are now on the same team.Other significant appointments confirmed the new commitment to dialogue. Senator George Mitchell was made a special envoy to the Middle East and former UN ambassador Richard Holbrooke will perform the same role in Afghanistan and Pakistan. But there was no move yet on creation of a similar post for Iran. Though Obama has held out the promise of talks with Tehran, he is biding his time. On Friday, Gordon Brown received a welcome phone call, becoming the first EU leader to speak to the new president. During a 15-minute chat, Obama and Brown talked about the global economy, Zimbabwe, and that spectacular inauguration ceremony.
Charm and glamour
"How good-looking is my wife?" Obama's compliment to Michelle before one of 12 inaugural balls was effortless, endearing and clearly sincere.No one who watched America's first black president dancing cheek to cheek with its first black first lady, as Beyoncé serenaded them at the Neighbourhood Ball, could doubt that glamour has returned to the White House. It was like a scene from a Hollywood movie and created images of fashion and celebrity to rival anything that emerged from JFK's vaunted "Camelot". Strong, uncomplicated and loving marriages - such as those of both Bush presidents and Ronald Reagan - are no stranger to the White House. The Obamas continue in that tradition, but have added a dose of youthful style and class.
The importance of being humble
Vice-President Joe Biden has been accused in the past by critics of "shooting from the lip". It didn't take him long last week to provide an example. The notoriously gaffe-prone vice-president cracked a joke about the fluffed inauguration oath ceremony when he was asked to swear in senior staff. "My memory is not as good as Justice Roberts," he said in reference to the Supreme Court judge's botched recitation of the oath. A few staff laughed. Obama, acutely aware throughout his first week of setting the right tone, frowned. A gentle touch on the elbow from his boss ensured that Biden reined in the gags and concentrated on the dignity of his new office. A small moment, perhaps. But one that showed Obama's keen sense of propriety. A break, also, with the relentlessly jovial Bush.The easy populist touch
They had stood outside the White House gates, shivering in the bitter cold. Scores of people who had heard about an open house day and Obama's promise of more transparency. But the Secret Service blocked the way. Until, apparently spotting the crowd from a White House window, Michelle Obama signalled that they should be allowed to enter. So it was that dozens of ordinary citizens trooped through the famed residency and were eventually led into the Blue Room to meet the new president. It was a masterstroke of PR as the Obamas greeted them one by one. "Welcome, enjoy yourself. Roam around. Don't break anything," Obama told one young man.Civic pride
The Obamas have chosen to embrace Washington as a city in its own right. The first indications came before his inauguration, when Barack Obama paid a visit to Ben's Chili Bowl diner in Washington's U Street black district. Then, on his first full day in office, he attended a local church service.But the visit also showed the realities of the security bubble in which the family now live. The drive to St John's church involved 20 Secret Service members, a 14-car motorcade, the presidential limousine known as "The Beast" and the deployment of precautionary gas masks. The drive took 90 seconds. Yet that is now normal life for the Obamas. The huge security bubble surrounding them will make it difficult to fulfil their promise to involve themselves in the city outside the machinery of government. That is especially true given the capital's poor, mostly black population which has serious crime issues. But that makes Obama's pledge to embrace the city all the more important.
Conspiracy theories
It did not take long for the conservative right, abetted by internet conspiracy theories, to pounce. Chief Justice John Roberts bungled the wording of the presidential oath, prompting a flurry of speculation as to whether Obama had been truly sworn in as president.This was hardly new territory for Obama. During the campaign he had set up a website to debunk rumours ranging from his being born abroad to being a secret Muslim. Once again Obama's team moved swiftly and left nothing to chance. Roberts visited the White House again, and this time administered the oath correctly.
But it showed how not everyone is joining the love-fest surrounding America's new presidency. The media may be swooning and approval ratings currently remain sky-high, but Obama's victory was no landslide, with some 47% of Americans preferring John McCain. The Republican party is now finding its new role outside power as an opposition. Future setbacks, more serious than getting one's lines wrong, will lead to attacks less easy to deal with.
Jan 9, 2010
Obama’s in the ER but he’ll get his reforms - Times Online
No, I’m not kidding. One of the most popular far-right websites, WorldNetDaily (with 5m readers a month), has argued that Obama’s healthcare reforms appear designed “to create the type of detention centre” that people “fear” could be used as “concentration camps for political dissidents, such as occurred in Nazi Germany”.
Last week, in a fracas at a town hall meeting, an elderly man had his little finger bitten off. Not quite the storming of the Bastille, but not nothing either.
This is a circus, but circuses get ratings, and they also shift the mood. Behind the theatrics, there is little doubt that worries about overhauling an industry as big as the entire British economy have deepened. The majority of Americans, with great healthcare, are understandably wary of change. The uninsured are a small minority and not as politically involved as elderly voters terrified by Republican claims that they are all about to be denied treatment. Obama’s hang-back strategy — designed to avoid a repetition of Hillary Clinton’s hands-on failure in 1993-4 — has allowed opponents to define the issue negatively.
There has been a political cost for the president. His approval ratings have slid from close to 70% to around 50%. That’s not as steep a slide as Bill Clinton managed in the same period, but it’s still worrying. His decline among independent voters is a bad sign and his pragmatism has weakened the passion of his own party base to support him. On Wednesday the president will give a speech to Congress on the reforms. He will need to be on good form.
Nonetheless, I remain convinced Obama will win this fight. Not totally; not without political cost; but win it he shall. And the strategy is really very simple. The most popular elements of the bill will be kept in and the most contentious left out.
The fundamental issue of costs will be deferred. A bill that prevents insurance companies from denying coverage to people with pre-existing illnesses; that creates healthcare exchanges, where people can buy their own insurance policy subsidised by the government; that brings agreed price reductions by the drug companies in return for all these new, previously uninsured clients: this will pass and be popular. How could it not? The option of a government-run insurance plan to compete with private ones will be either dispensed with or held in reserve. If, after a few years, health costs keep soaring and the private companies have not mended their free-spending ways, it could be brought back.
Obama has a solid majority and can achieve all this with Democratic votes alone. So why is he in such trouble? Partly it is that this kind of reform rightly stirs scepticism, and Obama has allowed a hapless and divided Congress to take the lead, muddying the message. Partly it is that the hard right is becoming more and more extreme and its fears have eclipsed the hopes of Obama’s supporters. But the most critical part, in my view, is the public understanding that after two massive bank bailouts and
a vast stimulus package, with two still-intractable wars, the US cannot afford even the modest 10-year trilliondollar package Obama is proposing. And Obama’s inability to cut spending while the economy is so fragile means he is constrained from offering fiscal reassurance.
So, tactically, Obama is on the defensive. Strategically? Again, he is stronger than he now appears. When the health insurance bill is passed and elderly Americans are not rounded up into concentration camps and granny isn’t subjected to euthanasia, and when many uninsured people gain a peace of mind they have never felt before, and people become able to change job without fearing loss of insurance, the Republican scare tactics may come to seem absurd.
Moreover, the Republicans have failed to lay out their proposals for dealing with the same problems. There are some worthwhile ideas out there: guaranteeing insurance only for catastrophic or chronic illness, vouchers for free check-ups and tax-free health savings accounts to pay for medicines and routine treatment. These proposals go largely unheard, though, drowned out by anti-Obama scaremongering. A party that has tried to kill what may well become a popular measure and has offered no alternative is not thinking strategically.
Imagine next year. Obama has a healthcare plan and a carbon emissions scheme in place, both of which duck some core difficult questions but are still big moves away from the era of George W Bush. His stimulus, designed to kick in with more force in 2010, helps to push an already recovering economy into growth. The troops begin to come back from Iraq in larger numbers. Stocks maintain momentum; banks keep paying back their bailout money, giving the government a profit; and Obama calls a fiscal-responsibility summit to begin to chart a path back to budget sanity.
It won’t turn out that easily, but it’s a plausible scenario. The strategy of pushing much of the stimulus money into an election year was, in retrospect, a shrewd if cynical ploy from Rahm Emanuel, the White House chief of staff. The Democrats will almost certainly lose seats in the Senate in the 2010 mid-term elections, as incumbent parties do, but even in the worst-case (and highly unlikely) scenario, a Republican takeover of the House, Obama’s options are no worse than Clinton’s were in 1994. Clinton, you may recall, failed to get healthcare and yet was re-elected handsomely.
And what will the Republicans be saying then? At some point, they need ideas — yet no ideological heavy lifting is currently being done. Worse, their most credible candidate for 2012, Mitt Romney, enacted a healthcare reform in Massachusetts very similar to Obama’s national plan. How does a party attack a healthcare reform when its own candidate endorsed just such a scheme in his own state?
Well, I guess they can run Sarah Palin or Dick Cheney. But Obama has already defeated both of them. He took his time this summer, hung back and let his enemies do their worst. They did. He took a beating. But, as with the Clintons and John McCain during the election campaign, he survived their tactical hits by retaining a strategic cunning. He still has it. Whether he can retain it is what the next year will tell us.
www.andrewsullivan.com 8 Comments
A Nonstarter on Arms Control - NYTimes.com
Moscow and Washington have stated that Start still applies voluntarily. This is false. First, without the consent of the U.S. Senate, expired treaties are null and void. Second, the Russians already kicked out U.S. inspectors, thus scrapping a key provision of the now-dead treaty. Third, on Tuesday, Dec. 29, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin upped the ante, linking U.S. missile defenses with the treaty signature. Speaking in Vladivostok later that week, Mr. Putin warned against U.S. “aggressiveness” and disruption of the nuclear balance in case the Obama administration deploys missile defenses.
As competition between Mr. Putin and President Dmitri Medvedev for the 2012 presidential nomination is rising, Mr. Putin may be denying his former protégé a prestigious feather in his statesman’s cap.
The official talks will restart in Geneva, possibly as early as next week. And the American side also appears circumspect. The U.S. Senate is concerned with the future of the Start follow-on treaty. Senators worry that the Obama administration may be making concessions to Russia that are detrimental to U.S. national security. On Dec. 16, 41 senators signed a letter to President Obama, saying that they will oppose the new treaty if the United States gives up nuclear modernization. Thus, the 67 vote supermajority necessary for ratification is far from secure.
Supporters of missile defense, nuclear modernization and prompt global strike intercontinental ballistic missiles with conventional warheads would oppose the treaty if it undermines their priorities.
The Kremlin feels it has a winning hand in the nuclear bargaining as the follow-on treaty is considered more important to the United States than Russia. The White House already ceded deployment of a stationary missile defense in Poland and the Czech Republic and has agreed to pull U.S. inspectors from a missile factory in Votkinsk, Russia. The removal will make it impossible to monitor production of Russia’s new RS-24 mobile multi-warhead ICBMs. This missile will be the mainstay of Russian strategic forces by 2016. Thus, the stronger party starts looking like a loser.
Preoccupation with the Start follow-on treaty is a major part of Mr. Obama’s effort to “reset” relations with Russia. The completion of the Start follow-on, as well as the ratification of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty by Congress, are seen as a key stepping stone of “getting to zero” — achieving a world without nuclear weapons.
The Russians, however, quietly scoff at Mr. Obama’s goal. While the Russian government publicly champions the U.S. nuclear disarmament effort, Russia’s military and security elite deride it. “Russia will develop offensive weapons — because without them there is no other way to defend our country,” Mr. Medvedev said in the recent TV interview.
Moreover, Russian nuclear policy and statements clearly reveal an abiding commitment to nuclear weapons. The U.S. national leadership and arms control negotiators should examine the Russian nuclear doctrine and policy as they are, not as they want them to be.
Russia is boosting the role of nuclear weapons in its national security strategy and doctrine. Russia’s nuclear doctrine considers the United States its “principal adversary.” With deficiencies in its conventional forces and difficulties procuring and deploying high tech weapons, Russia will increasingly rely on nuclear weapons, including first-use use in local conflicts, such as with Georgia last year. This is what Russia’s National Security Council Secretary, General Nikolay Patrushev recently announced.
Moreover, Russia has 3,800 tactical nukes, which were not included in the follow-on treaty. And in the recent military maneuvers in Belarus, the Russian Army simulated an invasion of Poland — with 900 tanks and fired three nuclear missiles at the “enemy.”
Mr. Putin has repeatedly announced that despite the economic crisis, the Russian government will continue major funding for advanced military equipment, including nuclear weapons modernization. Russia’s military-industrial complex is busy developing high-precision and low-yield deep-penetration nuclear weapons. But the Russians are also demanding the halt to U.S. nuclear modernization, which the bipartisan Perry-Schlesinger Commission recommended to the U.S. Congress and is necessary to maintain an effective deterrent.
Lastly, the U.S. intelligence community advised Congress that Russia is currently in violation of Start, as well as other arms control and nonproliferation agreements. The Obama administration’s broader agenda to “get to zero” appears to have compromised the treaty negotiations. This has caused Senator Jon Kyl, Republican of Arizona, to accuse the administration of arms control malpractice.
To put it simply, the new treaty must not compromise U.S. or allied national security. It should not limit U.S. missile defenses or nuclear modernization. The U.S. should oppose a Russian offensive nuclear posture, and counter the further lowering of the nuclear threshold. The United States should pursue a “protect and defend” strategy, which includes a defensive nuclear posture, missile defenses and nuclear modernization.
Ariel Cohen is senior research fellow at the Davis Institute for International Studies at The Heritage Foundation.
Dec 21, 2009
Weekly Address: The Patient's Bill of Rights and Health Reform | The White House
Posted by Jesse Lee on December 19, 2009 at 12:00 AM EST"
The President looks back to the bipartisan Patient's Bill of Rights, a bill that was defeated in Congress at the hands of special interests and their supporters, and notes that health insurance reform covers the same ground and much more in terms of giving the consumers the upper hand over their insurance companies. He calls on the Senate to allow an up-or-down vote, and for those opposing reform to stop using parliamentary maneuvers to drag it out. See more about Health Care
Nov 28, 2009
Le Figaro - International: The indictment of McCain against Obama
According to John McCain, the indecision of Obama on Afghanistan 'address to our allies and our enemies the message that we hesitate. Photo credits: George Merillon
INTERVIEW - His former rival is a trial without compromising the balance of Bush, after almost a year of power. On Afghanistan, Iran, Middle East, Russia or China: 'Could do better'. 'Given the emergence of China and India, the European Union and the United States will have even closer'
On the sidelines of the first Forum on international security Halifax, Conference organized by Canada and the German Marshall Fund, Republican Senator John McCain, 73, a former rival Barack Obama for president, gave an interview to Le Figaro and three other European newspapers (Süddeutsche Zeitung, Tagesspiegel and Gazeta Wyborcza).
LE FIGARO. - While the decision of President Obama on Afghanistan is now a matter of days, many analysts compare his situation to that of President Johnson during the Vietnam commitment. This comparison seems to you it relevant to you who fought in Vietnam?
John McCAIN. - The comparisons between the wars are rarely relevant, and they depend on your interpretation of the war. But facts are stubborn. When the North Vietnamese invaded South Vietnam and they have received massive support from Russia and China, there were more American soldiers in Vietnam. We had completed the withdrawal of our forces. You never learn it through the description given by the American left from the war in Vietnam. In the early days of the campaign in Vietnam, we have implemented the tactics consisting of Westmoreland to 'find and destroy the enemy', which failed. Then General Abrahams arrived, he started the Vietnamization, then withdrew American troops. Consider Iraq: again, the inefficient tactics of Westmoreland has been implemented by General Casey and Defense Secretary Rumsfeld. Then, President Bush had the courage to call General Petraeus and the surge (troop increase) has occurred. The Vietnamization had worked, the surge worked. The surge can walk and march in Afghanistan if there is sufficient resources and if it convinces the enemy that our mission will end before giving a date of departure. You win a war by breaking the will of the enemy. And this is not announcing that we will leave it succeeds!
You have criticized the president for the slowness of its decision. Why not leave him time for reflection?
The president has the right to take his time. But there are two problems. The first is that a strategy was announced in March. We told the American people that they would engage in a strategy of insurgency-cons. Then, with the postponement of the decision - which is not really his fault - the population is on the grill. A pending aggravated by constant leaks to the press and pierce debates within the Administration. It has even been published a dispatch from our ambassador in Kabul involving the sending of reinforcements! This address to our allies and our enemies the message that we hesitate. Even our military is shaken. During the ceremony that followed the tragedy of Fort Hood, Sergeants came to me and said: 'Senator McCain, our men are dying. Let us go there or go? 'It is not a static exercise and academic. The situation is real and it is deteriorating, according to our generals. This deterioration indicates that losses are increasing, and that we must either reverse this or leave. Postpone for months the decision is something that I would prefer that the President does not. But soon, the delay will be only a detail of history, since they say the president will announce his decision after Thanksgiving (next Thursday, Ed).
What do you think of the Russian policy of the new Administration?
I find it amusing that sometimes we cling to fragments of sentences from President Medvedev to persuade us that there is a major breakthrough in our discussions. We know very well that the Russian government. And we know he (Vladimir Putin, Ed) is a hard line. We know that there continue to be violations of human rights, as lawyers die in prison and that militants are killed in the street.
Is there a form of naivete in foreign policy, Obama on Russia or Iran?
I'm not sure I can describe it as naive. But I can say it did not succeed this time. Many of us had predicted that there would be no serious offers cons-Iranians on nuclear matters. They were actually given a global forum to present their radical views. Similarly, I never thought that Medvedev's remarks in New York on possible sanctions against Iran had real substance. Many of us continue to denounce the attitude of Mr. Putin's autocratic and concern about its ambitions in its 'near abroad', including Ukraine and Georgia. I do not think that a new cold war will start. But I foresee a more assertive Russia in the region and increasing repression of human rights.
Do you think that Europe underestimates the aggressiveness of Russia? Should it be harder with Moscow?
The issue is not to be hard. But to defend the rights of man as we have always done. We must negotiate with the Russians. We have ongoing negotiations on the START disarmament. But the defense of human rights is fundamental as we celebrate the 20th anniversary of the Wall. Why is this wall fall? One reason is that Reagan said 'Tear down this wall Mr. Gorbachev.' The Russians are on the way to autocracy. We speak aloud. This does not mean that we declare war. Ronald Reagan did not declare war on Russia.
But there was the war in Georgia and a failure of the West and NATO to prevent it.
With all the respect I owe to President Sarkozy, he has visited, negotiated an agreement for a cease-fire and presented it as a great success. But the Russians still do not respect this agreement. This kind of crisis negotiation requires more than just a photo session. The Russians still occupy territories in violation of the cease-fire and indulge in provocation. They have recognized Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent countries, in violation of international law.
If it were not for the cease-fire, the Russians could have taken Tbilisi ...
Maybe. But then, why not tell the truth were allowed to have an agreement that has prevented this scenario, but the Russians do not respect the agreement they agreed! President Sarkozy can not just say that the problem is resolved.
Would you prefer a tougher stance on human rights Obama Administration vis-à-vis China?
Yes. This is the first president not to have met the Dalai Lama. Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, before his first visit to China, said she did not speak of human rights. The way has been orchestrated visit to China by President Obama is something I would never have accepted. I've never held a press conference where I was not having issues ... I have seen visits to U.S. presidents, I'd never seen one where we simply speak of progress between the two countries, without bringing any concrete agreement.
You criticize many foreign policy of Obama. What are the positives?
President Obama is very charismatic personality. He is very intelligent and exciting. It has launched a message to the world that we wanted to cooperate and was received very warmly everywhere. I appreciate his talent. But I also know that if you tell the Israelis it must freeze settlementsThat they refuse, that Arab countries say they will not come to the negotiations, and then you tell the Israelis that they do not need to freeze the settlements, there is a problem ... I never told the Israelis that they must freeze settlement unless it is sure to keep that line. Understand me. I want to support the President of the United States. If it takes the right decision on Afghanistan, I will be there to support him. But I try to respectfully say that I think is the right path for the country.
The Republican Party faces a wrenching dilemma: to consolidate his conservative base at the risk of remaining minority, or enlarge to the center?
We've lost two elections in a row. Of heavy defeats. After such failures, there is always a period of debate. It's healthy. What attracts the attention of many Republicans is the result Election Virginia and New Jersey. Republican candidates who had conservative credentials have focused on specific problems of their states: jobs! Neither made any comments on abortion. They understood the need to talk jobs, loans to SMEs, aid. They won.
It has long been a tradition of bipartisan work in Congress of the United States. But, given the ferocity of the attacks that fuse, this time seems long gone.
I sincerely regret. But what happens in America is the emergence of an independent movement that is satisfied by neither side. This frustration was expressed during the recent elections. The independent voters of New Jersey who voted Obama did not want the Democratic candidate a year later. Affirmed today a movement of anger, which has not decided where he wants to go. This reservoir of independent votes that we do not know what will happen. In Arizona, my state, the unemployment rate is 17%! One in five children are hungry today in Arizona. The political climate is completely changed.
President Obama he overestimated the mandate given by people to reform the country, health, climate, energy?
Since the president was elected, the number one issue is not only the economy but spending. The budget deficit worries. That is why people are worried when he proposes reform of health which will cost over a trillion dollars. Since his arrival, there is excessive involvement of the state. Nobody would have imagined that the federal government becomes owner of General Motors and Chrysler. It also has a level of anger that I had never seen so far, between Main Street (the real country) and Wall Street. Wall Street makes obscene profits, while Main Street is closing its small business thousands. The anger is real.
If the president spends his health reform as planned, he may bring up the climate legislation in 2010, given the anger?
The chairman will do the only thing he can do. When you have unemployment that reached 10% and economists expect at least a year with the same pattern, you should worry about first. America is very concerned about climate change, but she is deeply troubled by unemployment.
A rising China, an America in decline ... You agree?
China moves towards superpower status. The question is whether this assumption will be peaceful and mutually beneficial or if it will lead to a confrontation. I see two faces of China. A China that involved positively in the international arena. And another China, which still has a particular attitude vis-à-vis Taiwan and continues to repress human rights. Which will emerge, it is not clear. But the Chinese are practical people. In my opinion, they will act peacefully because that is their economic interest. The emergence of conflict in Asia would not be a good thing for China, which has to feed a population of 1.3 billion people.
And the decline of America?
I've heard that many times, such as Carter ... But I think our country has great resilience. We will emerge stronger from this crisis. But I also know that given the emergence of China and India, the European Union and the United States will have to be nearer.
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Nov 18, 2009
Why is Rupert Murdoch so clueless about Fox News? | Media Matters for America
Eric Boehlert
At least that's the gospel according to Rupert Murdoch this month.
In truth, thanks to Murdoch's recent laundry list of public falsehoods, we now know that Fox News' misinformation culture starts at the very top, inside the corner office of
Of course, the Murdoch falsehood that recently generated the biggest headlines last week came when, sitting for a television interview with Sky News Australia, he agreed with the claim made by Glenn Beck that President Obama (aka "this guy") was a "racist" with a "deep-seated hatred for white people." Defending Beck, Murdoch stressed that Obama himself had made a "very racist comment" (which apparently only Rupert Murdoch heard), and that Beck was "right" to point out Obama's racist ways.
Murdoch's claim was so bizarre (and false) that soon his corporate flak was forced into damage control mode and issued a non-apology apology in an effort to smooth over Murdoch's smear against Obama. But with his "racist" claim, as well as a collection of other recent falsehoods regarding Fox News, a rather obvious question has been raised: How come Murdoch remains systematically uninformed about his controversial cable channel?
The sad truth is Murdoch either has no idea what kind of programming Fox News now produces, or he's too embarrassed to watch and acknowledge it. Neither scenario is particularly flattering for the aging CEO.
Murdoch's Sky News interview in particular proved to be a treasure trove of misinformation. (See below.) But as I watched Murdoch casually toss out falsehood after falsehood about Fox News, I wondered if Murdoch was trying to fool viewers or if he was really trying to fool himself. Was Murdoch completely whitewashing the hate and unethical behavior that Fox News routinely traffics in because Murdoch himself doesn't want to be forced to honestly defend it? My hunch is that the answer is yes.
Murdoch wants to pretend (at least to himself) that ratings are up because of the sterling and insightful news reports and opinion programs Fox News is producing. He doesn't want to sully his reputation by acknowledging the hate speech and faux journalism he profits off of because Murdoch, no doubt, wants very much to maintain his charter membership in the very clubby social circles that he's traveled in for years between Washington, D.C., and New York City (i.e. Murdoch likes being invited back to Charlie Rose's round table). It's where the very serious gather to discuss the very serious topics of the day. But, of course, Fox News today is a purposefully un-serious operation (i.e. Obama is nothing more than a lowly racist/communist/Nazi/fascist), which, if Murdoch publicly acknowledged, would reflect poorly on him.
So, instead, he opts for the charade and he creates his own idea of what Fox News is today -- an idea that does not match reality.
In truth, Murdoch's outlandish claim about Obama's fictional "racist comment" is just one of many falsehoods the CEO has recently made, either during that Australian television interview or on a conference call with U.S. shareholders earlier this month.
Check out these recent greatest hits in which Murdoch:
- falsely characterized Sean Hannity as being an "academic";
- falsely characterized Glenn Beck as being "purely Libertarian";
- falsely claimed nobody on Fox News had ever compared Obama to Stalin (i.e. "No, no, no, not Stalin");
- falsely suggested Fox News' ratings shot up after its public dispute with the Obama administration began last month;
- falsely claimed that administration officials agree that Fox News has been "absolutely fair" in its White House reporting;
- falsely claimed the White House just doesn't like "two of our [Fox News] commentators";
- falsely claimed Fox News' television competitors "only have Democrats" on to debate the issues;
- falsely claimed Obama had made a "very racist comment"; and
- falsely implied that The O'Reilly Factor, Your World With Neil Cavuto, and Fox & Friends, among others, are not "commentary" shows.
Meanwhile, Fox News' competitors ban Republicans from the airwaves? On what planet does that booking policy exist? Fox News' ratings spiked after its dispute with the White House went public? That's just plain false. No Obama/Stalin comparison? False. And Murdoch's cable channel only hosts two programs that traffic in partisan opinion? That's odd, because many of the channel's overt bouts of partisan misinformation appear outside the confines of Hannity and Glenn Beck:
Murdoch's robust bouts of misinformation in recent weeks have been impressive in their totality. But it was Murdoch's answer to the question about Beck's "racist" attack on the president that was disconcerting in so many ways; ways in which you rarely see the CEOs of media companies behave in public.
The obvious tact for a person in Murdoch's position when asked to defend the avalanche of Beck's odious and paranoid rhetoric would have been to stress that Beck's views were his own, and note that the cable channel's a defender of the First Amendment. Murdoch could have simply pointed out that while he himself would never use that kind of incendiary rhetoric, he respects Beck's right to do so. (i.e. Yada, yada, yada.)
And it's not like Murdoch doesn't have practice cleaning up after his outlets' tasteless Obama attacks. Last spring, when his money-hemorrhaging New York Post published a cartoon that seemed to liken Obama to a bullet-ridden chimp shot dead on the sidewalks of NYC, Murdoch released this statement:
Last week, we made a mistake. We ran a cartoon that offended many people. Today I want to personally apologize to any reader who felt offended, and even insulted.Instead of taking that approach when pressed about Beck, though, Murdoch gamely defended the host by agreeing with him that Obama was a racist. Specifically, the CEO claimed Obama had made a "very racist comment" [emphasis added]:
MURDOCH: On the racist thing, that caused a [unintelligible]. But he [Obama] did make a very racist comment about, you know, blacks and whites and so on, and which he said in his campaign he would be completely above. And, you know, that was something which, perhaps, shouldn't have been said about the president, but if you actually assess what he [Beck] was talking about, he was right.This was the context of the "racist" nonsense, which is key to understanding just how blatant Murdoch's misinformation was. Beck's "racist" attack was made in the wake of last July's controversy involving professor Henry Louis Gates and the Cambridge, Massachusetts, police officer, Sgt. James Crowley. After Obama made news with his comments about the issue during a July 22 press conference, Beck called Obama a "racist." Fast-forward to November, and Murdoch claimed that in that context, Obama made "a very racist comment."
That's pure fantasy. Obama did say that the Cambridge Police Department acted "stupidly" in arresting Gates in his own home; a comment Obama quickly walked back. But there's no way that was a "racist" comment. Murdoch's claim that the president made a "very racist comment" last summer was a pure fabrication.
Again, for the head of a media and "news" company to go on international television and peddle that kind of racially tinged misinformation about the president of the United States is really quite stunning. It's more akin to what Obama's partisan political enemies would do, not a businessman.
Question: Why won't Murdoch just stand up and proudly defend what Fox News has actually become? Instead of defending what Fox News really is, Murdoch goes on television and pretends it's something else entirely. Murdoch doesn't want to talk about what Fox News has transformed itself into. He doesn't want to talk about how it's become a hothouse for the most hateful and ill-informed elements in our society. Murdoch doesn't want to acknowledge what Fox News has become because the CEO thinks of himself as a serious man, and a very serious man would be embarrassed to be associated with today's Fox News.
And who knows? Maybe deep down, Rupert Murdoch is.
Nov 17, 2009
The diplomacy of deference - Mike Allen - POLITICO.com
The diplomacy of deferenc
- President Barack Obama bows while being greeted by Japanese Emperor Akihito and Empress Michiko at the Imperial Palace in Tokyo on Nov. 14. Photo: AP
BEIJING — Greeting the Japanese emperor at Tokyo’s Imperial Palace last weekend, President Barack Obama bowed so low that he was looking straight at the stone floor. The next day, Obama shook hands with the prime minister of repressive Myanmar during a group meeting. The day after that, the president held a “town hall” with Chinese university students who had been selected by the regime.
The images from the president's journey through Asia carried a potent symbolism that has riled critics back home. One conservative website called the episodes “Obamateurism.” Former Vice President Dick Cheney told POLITICO that Obama was advertising “weakness.”
But White House aides say the approach is deliberate — part of Obama’s determination to deliver on his campaign promise of directly engaging friends and enemies alike, giving America a less belligerent posture abroad.
“I think it's very important for the United States not to assume that what is good for us is automatically good for somebody else,” Obama told the students at the town hall, in Shanghai. “And we have to have some modesty about our attitudes towards other countries.”
President George W. Bush was accused of practicing “cowboy diplomacy,” with an emphasis on American power and self-interest that came off to many people as jingoism.
On his maiden Asia swing, Obama has made a vivid display of his own trademark style — the diplomacy of deference...